Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.406208 0.468552 0.536322 0.615335 0.704798 0.802819 0.918214
2025-09-28 0.292101 0.375252 0.474555 0.601302 0.758128 0.945115 1.184193
2025-10-05 0.239429 0.333058 0.452844 0.616040 0.831091 1.103111 1.471296
2025-10-12 0.209765 0.311451 0.449038 0.646581 0.920252 1.282886 1.795969
2025-10-19 0.183237 0.288313 0.437702 0.662270 0.987180 1.435245 2.093626
2025-10-26 0.159967 0.265490 0.422457 0.668448 1.038507 1.567323 2.370803
2025-11-02 0.139389 0.243230 0.404365 0.666827 1.076085 1.680238 2.626498
2025-11-09 0.120789 0.221150 0.383292 0.657220 1.099002 1.771257 2.854293
2025-11-16 0.105352 0.201956 0.364129 0.647726 1.119795 1.858746 3.080764
2025-11-23 0.090309 0.181200 0.339670 0.626337 1.118451 1.910184 3.252915
2025-11-30 0.086212 0.179628 0.347658 0.660153 1.210223 2.115036 3.681010
2025-12-07 0.075127 0.163316 0.327576 0.642627 1.212797 2.173857 3.874635
2025-12-14 0.065285 0.148236 0.308346 0.625198 1.214904 2.233556 4.076820
2025-12-21 0.057142 0.135449 0.291980 0.611364 1.222165 2.302535 4.299783
2025-12-28 0.053146 0.130823 0.290917 0.626358 1.283108 2.468642 4.700856
2026-01-04 0.051122 0.130216 0.297790 0.657366 1.376287 2.697761 5.226695
2026-01-11 0.047843 0.126275 0.297264 0.673292 1.441468 2.879865 5.678532
2026-01-18 0.044064 0.120595 0.292353 0.679564 1.487897 3.029823 6.079955
2026-01-25 0.040072 0.113786 0.284146 0.677918 1.517970 3.150324 6.432879
2026-02-01 0.035938 0.105974 0.272757 0.668166 1.530411 3.237400 6.727182
2026-02-08 0.032271 0.098792 0.261953 0.658528 1.542036 3.323120 7.023151
2026-02-15 0.028293 0.090115 0.246545 0.636814 1.525925 3.352395 7.210178
2026-02-22 0.027844 0.091186 0.254989 0.671144 1.634030 3.637969 7.919238